Lottery Dilemma

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 4:59 pm

Tommy, our ATL GM and one of your soon-to-be Committee members, has astutely pointed out to me that the existing lottery program we have has the wrong percentages. We now have three options. We use that one even though it's wrong, we base our lottery on what happens with the real life lottery in 3 hours, or we figure out some way to produce a random number generator to simulate the lottery as accurately as we can.

I'm sure this won't get read much before the real lottery, so people will have skewed opinions, but hopefully it gets some feedback.

Jungle Cats · Post by **Jungle Cats** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 5:42 pm

how far off are the percentages?

Parker · Post by **Parker** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 6:04 pm

There are numerous websites with random number generators, so that is an option. The chat client used by the league might even have something like that built into it.

GoJetsGo · Post by **GoJetsGo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 6:07 pm

Attached a quick spreadsheet photo of the differences.

GM Office Q · Post by **GM Office Q** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 6:28 pm

I'll take the extra 1.4%.

Oilers_GM · Post by **Oilers_GM** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 6:34 pm

I'd be ok using the lotto sim that is on the NHL website. There is one on the Oilers Website... http://oilers.nhl.com/club/page.htm?id=68769 and just had NJ get picked moving them to the #2 pick. just hit refresh - I'd say - best of 5 - take a screen shot each time and the most outcomes get's picked to move up.

TorontoGM · Post by **TorontoGM** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 6:46 pm

Roll dice? Or how about go with the NHL's results?

I know there are NBA lottery sims too out there but I think the percentages are different.

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 7:56 pm

I like the idea of going with the NHL's results. But, we have 5 minutes to decide that.

I can't figure out a random number generator, though, admittedly, I haven't tried too hard.

AHL playoffs start tonight for those involved.

GM Office Q · Post by **GM Office Q** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:00 pm

http://www.random.org/

Min = 1, Max = 1000.

Detroit gets 1-250 (250 total)
Minnesota gets 251-439 (188 total)
Etc.

Just a suggestion.

jamesredwings · Post by **jamesredwings** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:08 pm

The suspense is killing. I feel a heart attack coming!

By the way, I have my lucky underwear on.

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:12 pm

NHL results or random number generator?

First 5 votes.

jamesredwings · Post by **jamesredwings** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:14 pm

Confused? You mean real NHL results?

No way

TorontoGM · Post by **TorontoGM** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:14 pm

NHL results is less work for you, so I vote for that.

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:16 pm

jamesredwings wrote:Confused? You mean real NHL results?

No way

Meaning, if EDM wins, you keep the pick. If Colorado wins, Colorado has the first EHEC pick. If Florida wins, Minnesota has first EHEC pick.

Just going off what seed wins the real-life one.

jamesredwings · Post by **jamesredwings** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:17 pm

then NHL is fine

GoJetsGo · Post by **GoJetsGo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:17 pm

NHL results applied to correct EHEC analog.

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:17 pm

NHL results = majority out 5 votes.

So, the NHL results will determine our draft order.

GM Office Q · Post by **GM Office Q** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:18 pm

I'd go with NHL results. However, I'm actually third in EHEC (and second in the NHL), so if FLA wins in the NHL then I'd win in EHEC, correct?

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:19 pm

AvsGM wrote:I'd go with NHL results. However, I'm actually third in EHEC (and second in the NHL), so if FLA wins in the NHL then I'd win in EHEC, correct?

Yeah, you're right. The standings page wasn't updated on the EHEC page.

TorontoGM · Post by **TorontoGM** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:23 pm

This makes the Lottery on TSN even more exciting!

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:25 pm

Atlanta has won the draft lottery.

Detroit maintains the #1 pick.

TorontoGM · Post by **TorontoGM** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:25 pm

Whos fucken TERRIBLE idea was that?

jamesredwings · Post by **jamesredwings** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:27 pm

The party is on in Detroit!

I have no comment on who is the no 1 pick

There you go I have practised hard on being a boring interview GM.

I can take off my lucky underwear! whew

Virtual Jarmo · Post by **Virtual Jarmo** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:28 pm

DET, MIN, COL, ATL, TOR, NYI, FLA, OTT, NJ, DET, EDM, EDM, NSH, EDM is your first round of the non-playoff teams.

NashvilleGM · Post by **NashvilleGM** » Tue Apr 12, 2011 10:37 pm

Jungle Cats · Post by **Jungle Cats** » Wed Apr 13, 2011 2:49 am

weak. guess I can't look to the draft to solve my problems.

Commish Bub(NYR) · Post by **Commish Bub(NYR)** » Wed Apr 13, 2011 8:37 am

jamesredwings wrote:The party is on in Detroit!

I have no comment on who is the no 1 pick

There you go I have practised hard on being a boring interview GM.

I can take off my lucky underwear! whew

+1

Now send me Datsyuk and I'll make it a +2.

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